Retirement Projection
Calculator
Project your super balance at retirement and see how long your money will last. Model SG contributions, investment returns, fees, inflation-adjusted drawdown, career breaks, and lump sum contributions.Rates current as at 1 July 2025 · ATO FY2025–26
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Line chart showing your projected super balance growing from your current age to retirement age 67.
| Age | Opening | Contribs | Growth | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | $80k | $9k | +$6k | $95k |
| 39 | $128k | $9k | +$9k | $146k |
| 42 | $186k | $9k | +$13k | $208k |
| 45 | $257k | $9k | +$18k | $284k |
| 48 | $343k | $9k | +$24k | $376k |
| 51 | $449k | $9k | +$31k | $489k |
| 54 | $579k | $9k | +$40k | $628k |
| 57 | $737k | $9k | +$51k | $797k |
| 60 | $930k | $9k | +$64k | $1.00m |
| 63 | $1.17m | $9k | +$80k | $1.26m |
| 66 | $1.45m | $9k | +$100k | $1.56m |
| 67 | $1.56m | $9k | +$108k | $1.68m |
| Age | Opening | Income drawn | Return | Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | $1.68m | −$60k | +$116k | $1.74m |
| 70 | $1.79m | −$63k | +$124k | $1.86m |
| 72 | $1.92m | −$66k | +$132k | $1.99m |
| 74 | $2.05m | −$70k | +$142k | $2.13m |
| 76 | $2.20m | −$73k | +$152k | $2.28m |
| 78 | $2.36m | −$77k | +$163k | $2.45m |
| 80 | $2.54m | −$81k | +$175k | $2.63m |
| 82 | $2.73m | −$85k | +$189k | $2.84m |
| 84 | $2.95m | −$89k | +$203k | $3.06m |
| 86 | $3.18m | −$94k | +$219k | $3.31m |
| 88 | $3.44m | −$98k | +$237k | $3.58m |
| 90 | $3.72m | −$103k | +$257k | $3.88m |
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How Much Super Do You Actually Need to Retire?
The Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia (ASFA) publishes quarterly retirement expenditure benchmarks. For FY2025, ASFA estimates that a "comfortable" retirement for a single person requires approximately $57,665 per year, and for a couple, approximately $81,785 per year. A "modest" retirement (above the Age Pension but with limited flexibility) costs approximately $34,218 (single) and $49,141 (couple). These figures assume the retiree owns their home outright — they increase significantly if rent or mortgage payments continue into retirement.
The Superannuation Guarantee trajectory
The SG rate — the mandatory employer super contribution — has risen from 9% in 2014 to 11.5% in FY2025, and is legislated to reach 12% from 1 July 2025. This gradual increase is designed to lift the retirement savings of future cohorts, but it means that younger workers today will accumulate meaningfully more super over their careers than their parents did — provided they stay engaged with their fund, select appropriate investment options, and manage fees. For a 30-year-old earning $90,000, the difference between 9% and 12% SG compounded over 35 years at 7% can exceed $250,000 at retirement.
Sequence of returns risk — the retirement decade
The decade immediately before and immediately after retirement is the most financially vulnerable period for a super investor. A sustained market downturn in this window — known as sequence-of-returns risk — can permanently impair your retirement income capacity because you have less time to recover, and you may be drawing down capital into a falling market. This is why most financial advisers recommend gradually de-risking the portfolio in the five years before planned retirement — shifting from growth assets toward more defensive allocations — even if long-run returns are slightly lower.
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